This divisional rivalry duel is one of 13 games on the MLB schedule for Monday, September 5, so make sure you don’t miss the best Diamondbacks vs. Padres betting pick and odds.
Arizona and San Diego will play the first of a three-game series at Petco Park, and the Padres are -225 moneyline favorites on FanDuel Sportsbook, while the total is set at 8 runs. These National League West foes have faced 12 times this season, and the Padres lead 9-3.
Diamondbacks beat the Brewers in a four-game series
The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing their best baseball of the season at the moment. After splitting a two-game series with the Kansas City Royals, the D-Backs swept the Chicago White Sox and beat the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers. Arizona won eight of the last ten games including the most recent one over the Brewers.
Zac Gallen impressed once again as he tied the MLB record with his sixth straight scoreless start as he improved to an 11-2 record in dominant fashion. Gallen let just two hits with seven strikeouts and a walk across 7.0 innings of work. Jake McCarthy hit a two-run homer in the 8th inning and finished the game with three RBIs as the Diamondbacks secured a 5-1 victory.
Ryne Nelson will get his first MLB start in what will be his first career game in the majors when he faces the Padres on Monday. The 24-year-old right-hander spent this season with the triple-A side Reno Aces and had a 10-5 record with a 5.43 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 26 starts.
Padres lost the series to the Dodgers
The San Diego Padres are back home after spending nine games on the road. They faced the Royals, Giants, and Dodgers in that stretch and recorded six wins, sweeping the divisional rivals Giants in the process. However, they lost the series to the Los Angeles Dodgers, despite winning the opener. With a 74-61 record, the Padres have the fifth-best record in the National League and a wildcard spot should be in their hands.
Mike Clevinger dropped to a 5-6 record after allowing five runs on four hits with four strikeouts and two walks over 3.1 innings. Jurickson Profar registered a couple of RBIs, while Jake Cronenworth, Josh Bell, and Juan Soto had a multi-hit game.
Blake Snell (6-7) is getting his 19th start of the year when he takes on the D-Backs on Monday. The 29-year-old lefty has a respectable 3.87 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and 124/41 K/BB ratio in 93.0 innings.
Trends:
Arizona:
- 19-64 in the last 83 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
San Diego:
- 7-1 in the last eight vs. a team with a losing record
- 5-1 in the last six after allowing five runs or more in their previous game
- 6-2 in the last eight vs. National League West opponents
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Pick
The D-Backs are playing well right now, but I am not sure about starter Nelson, who will experience the MLB action for the first time in his career. His numbers in triple-A weren’t great, and I think the Padres are not going to give him a heartwarming welcome to the majors on Monday. The batters don’t know him yet, so Nelson could have a bit of advantage on his side, but the Padres’ lineup is made of monsters and I am backing the hosts to torment the rookie pitcher in this one.
Pick: Take the Padres at -1.5 Run Line (+100)
The Total
Blake Snell had two shutout starts in his previous four, while he allowed 2+ runs only on three occasions in his last 11 starts. Still, Arizona’s offense is in the form at the moment, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they score two or three runs off of Snell in the opening four or five innings. I expect the Padres to score multiple runs off of Ryne Nelson, so this one should be a high-scoring affair. Over is 10-4 in the Diamondbacks’ last 14 overall, while Over is 4-1 in Arizona’s previous five road games. Also, Over is 4-0 in the Padres’ last four overall, while Over is 4-0 in San Diego’s previous four vs. National League West rivals.
Pick: Go Over 8 runs (-110)
